Institutions and Allocation of Talent

Timur Natkhov (Higher School of Economics)
Leonid Polishchuk (Higher School of Economics)

Abstract: Institutions affect investment decisions, including the investments in human capital; hence institutions are relevant for the allocation of talent. Good market-supporting institutions attract talents to productive value-creating activities, whereas poor ones raise the appeal of rent-seeking. We propose a theoretical model which predicts that more talented individuals are particularly sensitive in their career choices to the quality of institutions, and test such predictions on a sample of around 95 countries of the world. We find strong positive association between the quality of institutions and graduation of college and university students in science, and an even stronger negative one – with graduation in law. Our findings are robust to various specifications of empirical models, including smaller samples of former colonies and transition countries. The quality of human capital makes the distinction between educational choices under strong and weak institutions particularly sharp. We show that the allocation of talent is an important link between institutions and growth.


Download the paper